Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.041173 0.048035 0.055580 0.064478 0.074670 0.085964 0.099410
2025-06-22 0.031092 0.040097 0.050917 0.064816 0.082132 0.102922 0.129697
2025-06-29 0.023593 0.033268 0.045838 0.063235 0.086530 0.116466 0.157644
2025-07-06 0.018658 0.028503 0.042218 0.062485 0.091378 0.130744 0.188006
2025-07-13 0.016238 0.026609 0.041961 0.065963 0.102061 0.153726 0.232478
2025-07-20 0.014101 0.024654 0.041167 0.068341 0.111223 0.175356 0.277244
2025-07-27 0.011615 0.021630 0.038168 0.066756 0.113983 0.187609 0.309213
2025-08-03 0.009820 0.019399 0.036026 0.066102 0.117908 0.201769 0.345217
2025-08-10 0.008153 0.017061 0.033296 0.063975 0.118980 0.211269 0.374449
2025-08-17 0.006873 0.015199 0.031087 0.062375 0.120618 0.221648 0.405843
2025-08-24 0.006011 0.013992 0.029887 0.062398 0.125025 0.236995 0.446864
2025-08-31 0.005134 0.012583 0.028066 0.060951 0.126479 0.247166 0.479577
2025-09-07 0.004788 0.012290 0.028488 0.064057 0.137072 0.275090 0.547213
2025-09-14 0.004213 0.011364 0.027444 0.064033 0.141540 0.292112 0.596414
2025-09-21 0.003593 0.010205 0.025710 0.062295 0.142320 0.302151 0.633321
2025-09-28 0.003128 0.009333 0.024479 0.061469 0.144860 0.315796 0.678314
2025-10-05 0.002975 0.009249 0.025078 0.064851 0.156765 0.349210 0.765145
2025-10-12 0.002774 0.008991 0.025216 0.067169 0.166563 0.379135 0.847331
2025-10-19 0.002403 0.008172 0.023815 0.065598 0.167406 0.390389 0.892004
2025-10-26 0.002123 0.007560 0.022846 0.064948 0.170275 0.406166 0.947374
2025-11-02 0.001824 0.006814 0.021393 0.062853 0.169453 0.413764 0.985792
2025-11-09 0.001584 0.006203 0.020206 0.061278 0.169690 0.423684 1.029992
2025-11-16 0.001426 0.005831 0.019643 0.061300 0.173887 0.442923 1.096327